Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 5.226164e-01 0.688537 0.878156 1.107803 1.375343 1.674290 2.030648
2025-04-13 2.762691e-01 0.465810 0.716290 1.057026 1.494364 2.023686 2.699395
2025-04-20 1.521142e-01 0.338300 0.624178 1.056825 1.658982 2.434424 3.475156
2025-04-27 8.172144e-02 0.250644 0.554491 1.062763 1.821512 2.849198 4.283206
2025-05-04 3.669624e-02 0.173511 0.470714 1.023302 1.906566 3.160054 4.970718
2025-05-11 1.363367e-02 0.117248 0.397827 0.979056 1.970145 3.436924 5.620304
2025-05-18 4.835764e-03 0.086433 0.360710 0.984365 2.104465 3.816549 6.422941
2025-05-25 8.391127e-04 0.057687 0.310913 0.951530 2.167855 4.089840 7.082495
2025-06-01 1.496849e-04 0.047983 0.307461 1.009513 2.387319 4.606596 8.106491
2025-06-08 8.692171e-09 0.034488 0.281923 1.013155 2.508871 4.975021 8.924196
2025-06-15 NaN 0.030766 0.289926 1.093704 2.773931 5.577755 10.102626
2025-06-22 NaN 0.025136 0.285515 1.143024 2.983087 6.097596 11.169794
2025-06-29 NaN 0.018533 0.270700 1.165897 3.148260 6.560397 12.176611
2025-07-06 NaN 0.010979 0.238145 1.134610 3.205433 6.849007 12.928922
2025-07-13 NaN 0.007220 0.222549 1.145623 3.346047 7.279968 13.909207
2025-07-20 NaN 0.004574 0.208680 1.157806 3.488521 7.717423 14.908154
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001990 0.181037 1.118971 3.519841 7.964945 15.615670
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000613 0.154421 1.073454 3.530569 8.174594 16.265966
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000217 0.143582 1.079907 3.654946 8.585967 17.243485
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000016 0.123900 1.045329 3.682493 8.824759 17.948372
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000006 0.127713 1.107337 3.937138 9.477939 19.332089
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.118501 1.111332 4.055198 9.886420 20.325905
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.127280 1.197124 4.372356 10.664488 21.931804